Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000946 1.084426e-03 0.001224 0.001373 0.001530 0.001687 0.001858
2026-01-04 0.000736 9.347104e-04 0.001142 0.001370 0.001615 0.001866 0.002142
2026-01-11 0.000560 8.001275e-04 0.001059 0.001352 0.001672 0.002007 0.002379
2026-01-18 0.000421 6.890273e-04 0.000989 0.001339 0.001728 0.002139 0.002603
2026-01-25 0.000279 5.555020e-04 0.000883 0.001276 0.001720 0.002198 0.002742
2026-02-01 0.000184 4.648683e-04 0.000816 0.001250 0.001750 0.002293 0.002916
2026-02-08 0.000120 4.031507e-04 0.000778 0.001252 0.001806 0.002414 0.003116
2026-02-15 0.000075 3.558219e-04 0.000752 0.001265 0.001872 0.002543 0.003322
2026-02-22 0.000044 3.206656e-04 0.000737 0.001289 0.001949 0.002682 0.003537
2026-03-01 0.000014 2.701284e-04 0.000698 0.001279 0.001983 0.002771 0.003695
2026-03-08 NaN 2.134987e-04 0.000643 0.001246 0.001988 0.002825 0.003812
2026-03-15 NaN 1.850602e-04 0.000625 0.001259 0.002045 0.002937 0.003991
2026-03-22 NaN 1.262694e-04 0.000564 0.001227 0.002066 0.003028 0.004171
2026-03-29 NaN 8.839404e-05 0.000529 0.001229 0.002128 0.003167 0.004408
2026-04-05 NaN 5.142494e-05 0.000485 0.001215 0.002170 0.003282 0.004618
2026-04-12 NaN 2.397541e-05 0.000445 0.001205 0.002215 0.003401 0.004831
2026-04-19 NaN 6.616328e-07 0.000375 0.001145 0.002195 0.003441 0.004954
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000332 0.001121 0.002218 0.003531 0.005132
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000308 0.001123 0.002274 0.003658 0.005351
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000292 0.001136 0.002341 0.003798 0.005584
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000284 0.001159 0.002422 0.003954 0.005834
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000257 0.001150 0.002458 0.004054 0.006019
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000220 0.001118 0.002464 0.004116 0.006159